Chance of target 88.8% one or more copies
Plan your summons
How far can your resources take you?
Select a target hero, enter your summon resources and compare your expected copies with the real chance of walking away without that hero.
Exact probability model
01
Target setup
Build your summon plan
Target hero Legendary heroes from the four regular factions
Wishlist slot reserved Copies already owned Included in the Divination forecast, not in summon odds
Current pity Draws remaining until the next guaranteed Epic on each banner
Standard 0 means start fresh
Suit 0 means start fresh
Saved resources Enter the number of pulls you can make
Amity 3% chance for any Epic
Standard 0.29% for your target
Hearts Suit 1.875% for your target
Rate Up active Applies the featured target rate to Standard and matching Suit pulls
Pity is included. Standard guarantees an Epic by pull 50 and Suit by pull 20. Each banner has its own counter, which resets whenever that banner produces an Epic and does not transfer.
02 200 total pulls
Probability forecast
Your expected outcome
Expected target copies
2.16 copies of Caishen
Across Standard and matching Suit summons.
89% at least one
Miss risk 11.2% no target copy
All Epics expected 12.8 from every summon type
Divination forecast Based on owned cards plus the expected copies from this summon plan
2.58 total cards Highest expected Divination Legendary Requires 2 total hero cards
Chance to reach Legendary 73.7%
Next: Legendary+ at 4 cards 1.42 expected cards remaining
Epic+ 2 cards Expected
Legendary 2 cards Expected
Legendary+ 4 cards Expected
Exalted 4 cards Expected
Exalted+ 6 cards Expected
Mythic 6 cards Expected
Divine 10 cards Expected
Divine 1 12 cards Expected
Divine 2 14 cards Expected
Divine 3 18 cards Expected
Divine 4 22 cards Expected
Divine 5 30 cards Expected
Card counts are cumulative. When two tiers require the same number, the higher step uses other fodder but no additional copy of this hero.
Target copy distribution How often each outcome occurs across players with the same resources
Standard + Suit Plan insight Suit pulls do most of the work
Your matching Suit summons have a much stronger target rate than Standard summons without Rate Up.
Rates and calculation assumptions
Amity3% any Epic
Standard target0.29%
Suit target1.875%
Standard pityEpic by pull 50
Suit pityEpic by pull 20
The forecast uses the current pity counters entered in the plan. A natural Epic resets only its own banner counter. On a guaranteed Epic pull, the selected hero keeps its normal share of that banner's Epic pool. “No target copy” only means that the selected hero does not appear.